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Interpreting a Shocking Loss in Football, Part 2

While handicapping football is the art of predicting results accurately enough to wager on them and win, now and again something happens that hardly anyone predicts.  If you’ve recently bet on a favourite only to lose all your money in a shocking defeat against a team that seemed to have no chance, you need to figure out what it means before you bet again. 

Planning Ahead to Manage Your Football Tournament Betting Bankroll

Planning on betting on one of the big international football tournaments?  If so, good for you!  The World Cup, European Championship, Confederations Cup, and other international events are some of the most exciting spectacles in all of sports.  Betting on them can be an amazing experience, and a lucrative one too if you do it right.  Part of that is managing your bankroll intelligently, and that starts with some basic planning at the beginning of the tournament.

 

Handicapping Super Bowl 50, Part 4: Relevant Statistics

In past years, the Super Bowl was a big deal mainly in the USA, but recently it has become a global phenomenon.

Handicapping Super Bowl 50, Part 3: Why Might the Broncos Win?

We’re less than a couple of days away now from Super Bowl 50.  With the game being broadcast to 230 countries, this is the biggest year ever for NFL around the world—including in the UK.

 

Handicapping Super Bowl 50, Part 2: Game Overview

Following NFL football?  If so, you are one of millions of UK sports fans who have become caught up in the action of a sport which used to enjoy only a relatively narrow geographical reach.  This year, Super Bowl 50, the culminating game in the NFL season, will be broadcast in 230 countries. 

 

How Do Staff Changes in NFL Football Create Unpredictability?

There are a number of different factors that can impact teams and players at the start of an NFL season, resulting in unpredictable performance  and predicting NFL at the start of the season challenging.  One of those factors is changes in personnel.  Staff turnover is a complex matter.  Players are traded, coaches hired or fired, and managers replaced.  When a team has major changes in its roster or management, there are a number of resulting variables that can impact a team’s performance:

Handicapping Super Bowl 50, Part 1: NFL’s Growing Popularity in the UK

If you have been following NFL football this year, you know that it is has been an exciting and very unpredictable year.  Many people were closely following the Denver Broncos from the start, being as this is almost certainly going to be quarterback Peyton Manning’s final year playing professional football.  But no one could have predicted the team’s numerous unlikely victories this season, particularly in the recent playoff game against the New England Patriots. 

Challenges Predicting NFL at the Start of the Season

We’re almost at the end of another season of NFL football.  If you have been following along through the season, you may already have a number of predictions for this year’s teams and players.  Whether that is true or you are only just now starting to handicap NFL football, it is smart to remind yourself that making solid predictions early on in the season is very difficult.  Why?

 

Using Beyer Speed Ratings

Beyer Speed Ratings are some of the most powerful statistical tools you have when handicapping horse races.  These ratings are comprehensive and take into account factors such as speed, depth, and track length.  As such, the numerical value you derive from the rating system can be applied to races across different distances and on different types of tracks.  Read more about what the Beyer Speed Figures are and why they are so powerful.

 

Sources of Stress in Betting, Part 1

If you actually become a sports punter for a living, you will be embarking on a career which eliminates many of the sources of stress which are ubiquitous in the 9-to-5 life. You won't have to worry about pleasing the boss, clocking in on time, or dealing with difficult coworkers. You will be calling the shots in almost every respect. The only exception of course is that you will be required to follow the rules that you set for yourself. These are the rules that help you to profit time and again.

 

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Gambling on the Internet

A few things to consider when gambling online:

  • Take advantage of first deposit bonuses
  • Have a budget and stick to it
  • Don't lose more than you can afford
  • When drunk, don't bet!
  • Don't chase losses
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